Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 20.515854 23.532638 26.991926 31.286206 36.521603 42.759151 50.847423
2025-08-10 16.326085 19.975173 24.541510 30.787951 39.292956 50.751857 67.874737
2025-08-17 13.946982 17.786376 22.873477 30.306835 41.252000 57.409469 84.406171
2025-08-24 12.358284 16.275050 21.703143 30.068928 43.217636 64.225201 103.072275
2025-08-31 10.986591 14.832787 20.353658 29.232665 43.955193 69.105872 119.974704
2025-09-07 10.019358 13.828696 19.471445 28.906065 45.350855 75.308387 141.573789
2025-09-14 8.969037 12.579746 18.053321 27.474229 44.530399 77.197132 154.872567
2025-09-21 8.063244 11.460038 16.708836 25.965026 43.273082 77.895155 165.721806
2025-09-28 7.429157 10.701907 15.858940 25.184541 43.222955 81.022125 183.987980
2025-10-05 7.657135 11.315302 17.299195 28.660889 52.165635 106.331464 278.285156
2025-10-12 7.443018 11.187457 17.468366 29.799113 56.540903 122.575704 358.478385
2025-10-19 6.962212 10.574834 16.729675 29.068562 56.644582 127.882045 403.700982
2025-10-26 6.754466 10.426567 16.835962 30.115504 61.256012 147.883908 533.116809
2025-11-02 6.358809 9.923897 16.249923 29.657925 62.179073 157.609259 629.108347
2025-11-09 6.003620 9.464476 15.699852 29.199060 63.004736 167.467121 741.721078
2025-11-16 5.710279 9.093221 15.282251 28.972497 64.401937 179.998522 894.899730
2025-11-23 5.378625 8.629955 14.647051 28.175789 64.081423 186.328646 1019.058251
2025-11-30 5.128526 8.299341 14.244752 27.864547 65.084643 198.354182 1221.601885
2025-12-07 4.788052 7.781724 13.432135 26.499417 62.748220 195.986374 1287.454644
2025-12-14 4.464603 7.279747 12.619916 25.059397 59.965479 190.901416 1320.165751
2025-12-21 4.233757 6.939929 12.115373 24.314222 59.196792 194.532995 1469.141057
2025-12-28 4.401609 7.362784 13.206683 27.630865 72.096452 270.421928 3065.325779
2026-01-04 4.349568 7.358314 13.401712 28.715480 78.044564 317.703459 4810.672374